![Cyberattacks in Ukraine Can Hit Europe and the US](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/294424-1.jpg)
Cyberattacks in Ukraine Can Hit Europe and the US
Experts assessing the geopolitical situation in eastern Europe have no doubt that Russia is planning an attack on Ukraine [1]. This is evidenced by Russia’s massive military build-up near the borders of Poland’s eastern neighbor. Thousands of soldiers, gathered under the pretext of military exercises, could launch an invasion at any time. This is evidenced by satellite images published for several weeks on a number of websites. However, the actions of the cyber forces, which Russia is likewise mobilizing in preparation for a potential conflict, remain less visible. Cybersecurity experts say that if Russia decides to invade Ukraine, it will undoubtedly use cyberattacks as a key part of its strategy. This took place already during the previous conflicts – in Georgia as well as Crimea (2016). If the cyberattacks get out of control, institutions that are not involved in the conflict, such as government agencies and private companies in the US, Poland, and elsewhere, could be affected too. Past events show that this is a very likely scenario.
![Putin’s Nuclear Showcase Amid Possible Invasion Of Ukraine](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/kreml.jpg)
Putin’s Nuclear Showcase Amid Possible Invasion Of Ukraine
Russia held its February 19 strategic nuclear drills to intimidate Western countries. Amid Russia’s planned invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin is warning the United States against getting involved in the conflict. The drills served also a propaganda purpose in Russia to add up to the war atmosphere and convince people around the country about Moscow’s military might and an alleged threat posed by Western nations.
![EU Says It Is Ready For Possible Disruption Of Russian Gas Flows](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/gazprom.jpg)
EU Says It Is Ready For Possible Disruption Of Russian Gas Flows
The European Union would be able to cope with disruption to gas imports from Russia, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said. The top EU official said infrastructure development, by adding new pipelines and interconnectors, and individual contingency plans in recent years meant Europe was better equipped to increase deliveries of liquefied natural gas. One example is Spain that boosted its LNG supplies in recent months, which could serve as a role model for the entire bloc.
![Polish President Andrzej Duda Met with Chinese Leader Xi Jinping in Beijing- Podcast](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/13.png)
Polish President Andrzej Duda Met with Chinese Leader Xi Jinping in Beijing- Podcast
The Polish-Belarusian border crisis is definitely one of the most significant events of 2021, both in the European and international arena. Not only Lithuania (which is struggling with the same situation), but also important European players, such as Germany and France, the United States, as well as international organizations, for instance, NATO or the European Union, are already showing interest in the problem. According to political and media circles, China could play a significant part in solving this situation.
![Russia Holds Naval Drills From The Arctic To Syria](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/123456.png)
Russia Holds Naval Drills From The Arctic To Syria
Russia is now seeing an array of drills that serve as a tool to pressure Ukraine and the West. What should arouse a particular interest is a navy exercise in the Black Sea. Its scale and flotilla, as the latter includes amphibious assault ships that sailed from the Baltic Sea and the North Sea, suggests that Russia’s military showcase could play its role in Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.
![Reasons for Sino-Indonesian cooperation](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/50356929188_613873dd44_k.jpg)
Reasons for Sino-Indonesian cooperation
Continuous relations between China and Indonesia can be seen as one of the most successful partnerships among Association of the South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) member states.
![Polish President Andrzej Duda Met with Chinese Leader Xi Jinping in Beijing](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/27817879895_400d4ddbca_h.jpg)
Polish President Andrzej Duda Met with Chinese Leader Xi Jinping in Beijing
President of the Republic of Poland Andrzej Duda attended the opening ceremony of the 24th Olympic Winter Games in Beijing on February 4, 2022. The highlight of the Polish President’s three-day visit to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) was his meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Sunday, February 6.
![Not Accidentally, Germany’s Schroeder Is Set To Join Gazprom](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/123456.jpg)
Not Accidentally, Germany’s Schroeder Is Set To Join Gazprom
Gazprom has nominated former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder to join its board of directors. He already holds several posts related to the Russian energy sector: the former chancellor is chairman of Nord Stream. Schroeder, who was the head of the Social Democrat-led German government, is also a board member at Russia’s top oil producer Rosneft.
![Russian Warships Sail To Black Sea For Drills: Blockage Or Potential Aggression?](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/12345.png)
Russian Warships Sail To Black Sea For Drills: Blockage Or Potential Aggression?
A flotilla of Black Fleet vessels alongside some warships of the Baltic Fleet and the Pacific Fleet started drills in the Black Sea. What may raise concern is that the last of them are large amphibious vessels while such a military operation could be one of Russia’s offensive options. Blocking a few seas is a serious obstacle to maritime trade with Ukraine.
![OPEC+ Did Not Give In To Output-Increasing Pressure](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/1234.jpg)
OPEC+ Did Not Give In To Output-Increasing Pressure
In the shortest meeting in its history, OPEC+ decided to increase the collective production by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd). The ministers of the OPEC+ alliance, who met via video conference, agreed in just 16 minutes on the monthly production hike. The decision to keep the gradual output increase despite growing global demand made oil prices soar rapidly. The leaders of OPEC+, which are Saudi Arabia and Russia, will each have a quota of 10.331 million bpd in March.
![Russia, China Extend Gas Cooperation](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/123.jpg)
Russia, China Extend Gas Cooperation
As Russian President Vladimir Putin went to China to attend the opening of the Winter Olympics, he signed a pile of economic deals with China, also on energy. A gas supply deal was inked, among other contracts.
![Czech and Slovak Intelligence Report on China- Podcast](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/12.png)
Czech and Slovak Intelligence Report on China- Podcast
The Polish-Belarusian border crisis is definitely one of the most significant events of 2021, both in the European and international arena. Not only Lithuania (which is struggling with the same situation), but also important European players, such as Germany and France, the United States, as well as international organizations, for instance, NATO or the European Union, are already showing interest in the problem. According to political and media circles, China could play a significant part in solving this situation.
![Russia, Ukraine Stage Parallel Military Drills](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/38976505905_3480b67aee_k.jpg)
Russia, Ukraine Stage Parallel Military Drills
Russia and Belarus have begun joint military drills dubbed the Allied Resolve 2022, moving up 30,000 troops to the theater in the country’s south near the Ukrainian border. At the same time, Ukraine kickstarted its Blizzard 2022 military exercise in the northern part of the country that borders Belarus. On February 13, Russia will start maneuvers in the south, close to Ukrainian waters.
![Early Predictions Ahead of the 2024 Presidential Election](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/5440390625_1efe5ac99b_k.jpg)
Early Predictions Ahead of the 2024 Presidential Election
Although the US presidential election is still more than two years away, opinion polling centers are already competing in providing polls that report on the popularity of potential candidates for the 47th president of the United States. Weakening support for the incumbent US President Joe Biden encourages more and more Americans to focus on the political future of their country. Consequently, it is worth taking a look at the list of politicians who may run in 2024 presidential primaries on both sides of the political fence.
![Russia Ramps Up Amphibious Landing Capacities In Black Sea](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/1.png)
Russia Ramps Up Amphibious Landing Capacities In Black Sea
A flotilla of Russian amphibious ships of the Northern Fleet and the Baltic Fleet passed to the Black Sea, which makes a navy operation against Ukraine quite likely. But it is just the beginning of Russia’s massive navy buildup––by deploying some of its vessels, the Russian navy seems to plan a deterrence strategy against NATO forces.
![The future of energy – an interview by the Warsaw Institute](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Projekt-bez-tytułu.png)
The future of energy – an interview by the Warsaw Institute
On February 9, the Warsaw Institute had the pleasure of hosting Jakub Wiech, a publicist and deputy editor-in-chief of the Energetyka24 website. The topic of the conversation on the foundation’s channel was the future of energy.
![China’s activities in the V4 region – debate on the history and prospects of relations](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/china-v4-logo-en.jpeg)
China’s activities in the V4 region – debate on the history and prospects of relations
On Tuesday, February 8, another debate took place, organized by the Warsaw Institute in partnership with the International Visegrad Fund. The subject of the program was the activities of the People’s Republic of China in the region of Central European countries. The speakers presented the historical outline of relations between China and the V4 countries and assessed their future perspectives.
![A former director of the Open Society was recorded saying that George Soros have full influence in the press of Poland and Hungary](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/13307813654_457c37af38_k.jpg)
A former director of the Open Society was recorded saying that George Soros have full influence in the press of Poland and Hungary
The Hungarian daily Magyar Nemzet has recently published an article after receiving a set of documents from an unidentifiable email address. Among them is a several-hour Skype interview with Andrej Nosko, an Open Society Foundation former director. In this conversation, he revealed how the influence network of international organizations works to manipulate the news against the European conservative countries. Also, he admitted that there has been an unfair and biased campaign against Poland and Hungary, financed by different globalist organizations and confirmed the existence of a double standard.
![Will the New Czech Governing Coalition End Friendly Relations with the PRC? – Podcast](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/11.png)
Will the New Czech Governing Coalition End Friendly Relations with the PRC? – Podcast
The Polish-Belarusian border crisis is definitely one of the most significant events of 2021, both in the European and international arena. Not only Lithuania (which is struggling with the same situation), but also important European players, such as Germany and France, the United States, as well as international organizations, for instance, NATO or the European Union, are already showing interest in the problem. According to political and media circles, China could play a significant part in solving this situation.
![Racial conflicts created by the Russian security authorities in the USA](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/WhatsApp-Image-2022-01-26-at-12.57.29.jpeg)
Racial conflicts created by the Russian security authorities in the USA
In an interview with Russian state-run broadcaster Rossiya-1 on October 7, 2020, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke of the situation before the November presidential election in the United States, saying he agreed with some of the liberal and left-wing values of the Democratic Party. The Russian leader said the Soviet Union––just like Democrats in the U.S.––backed the ethnic African American population in their fight for fundamental rights since the 1930s when the Communist International (Comintern) considered imperialism and capitalism a common enemy of both White and Black workers. Putin got nostalgic about the time when the Soviet Union would display portraits of Angela Davis, a Black Communist member and an activist committed to African American rights movement