The military capabilities among Antarctic claimant states

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Western Balkans and the War in Ukraine

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The U.S. Response to War on Ukraine Needs Work

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2022 French Presidential Election

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Australia’s Role in the Indo-Pacific Strategy of the United States

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The Warsaw Institute stands united with Ukraine

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Russia Monitor Monthly 08/2022
Putin To Formally Annex Ukrainian Regions

Putin To Formally Annex Ukrainian Regions

Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to formally annex four territories from Ukraine on Friday September 30. This might mark a turning point in the war––following the invasion and Putin’s announced troop mobilization. Putin has gone to war he will either win or lose. Once Russia illegally annexes four territories of Ukraine, there will no longer be possible for the Kremlin to sit at the negotiating table with Ukrainian officials. This will trigger further sanctions from the West. The suspected sabotage of Nord Stream and nuclear threats might––according to the Kremlin––scare off Ukraine and Western nations.

Russia Announced Results Of Sham Vote In Russian-Occupied Lands

Russia Announced Results Of Sham Vote In Russian-Occupied Lands

Russian-installed officials in four occupied regions of Ukraine reported huge majorities of votes in favor of joining Russia––ranging between 87 and 99 percent. Western countries will refuse to recognize the rigged vote tally. Despite that, Russia is likely to grab these eastern regions of Ukraine that together make up about 15 percent of Ukrainian territory.

Russia Threatens Nuclear Weapons Use

Russia Threatens Nuclear Weapons Use

What Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said back in New York corroborates that the Russian snap decision to illegally grab Ukrainian territories was made to expand its nuclear blackmail. Russia has repeatedly waved the threat of using nuclear force to have the upper hand in its war in Ukraine. This is why the Kremlin decided to boost its credibility.

Gazprom’s Dividends: Less Gas, More Money

Gazprom’s Dividends: Less Gas, More Money

Russia is making fortune from the gas crisis it has sparked off. Russian gas giant Gazprom has scored brilliantly in the first six months of this year despite a decline in output and exports. The company has thus made an unprecedented decision to pay out a six-month dividend for 2022––interestingly, it did not pay out dividends for 2021.

Russia’s “Partial” Mobilization: Putin Deceived Fellow Citizens

Russia’s “Partial” Mobilization: Putin Deceived Fellow Citizens

The classified seventh paragraph of the decree of Vladimir Putin contains information on the mobilization volume, which now remains unknown. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu made reference to up to 300,000 people being mobilized in phases but some news outlets reported that the real target is four times as many. Contrary to what Putin said, the military call-up is not partial, but widespread, while it is state authorities that decide who is summoned.

Sham Referenda In Russian-Controlled Ukrainian Regions

Sham Referenda In Russian-Controlled Ukrainian Regions

The results of these “referenda” are known well in advance. Russian President Vladimir Putin likely intends to annex occupied southern and eastern Ukraine directly into the Russian Federation in a few days. This operation is aimed at mobilizing Putin’s supporters in Russia and stoking fears of nuclear attacks if Ukrainian forces liberate the whole regions of Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk.

Analytical articles
Putin To Formally Annex Ukrainian Regions

Putin To Formally Annex Ukrainian Regions

Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to formally annex four territories from Ukraine on Friday September 30. This might mark a turning point in the war––following the invasion and Putin’s announced troop mobilization. Putin has gone to war he will either win or lose. Once Russia illegally annexes four territories of Ukraine, there will no longer be possible for the Kremlin to sit at the negotiating table with Ukrainian officials. This will trigger further sanctions from the West. The suspected sabotage of Nord Stream and nuclear threats might––according to the Kremlin––scare off Ukraine and Western nations.

Oil Exports Rise in Venezuela

Oil Exports Rise in Venezuela

An increase in oil exports in September 2022 from Venezuela to China, Cuba, and Europe, among others, is expected to boost revenues for this Bolivarian country. This, however, does not improve Venezuela’s current social and economic situation. The 2020 sanctions imposed on this country by Western and Latin American countries have limited Venezuelan oil exports to global oil trade markets. The public receives food rations from the state, and the consumer market is still constrained due to the enforced sanctions.

Russia Announced Results Of Sham Vote In Russian-Occupied Lands

Russia Announced Results Of Sham Vote In Russian-Occupied Lands

Russian-installed officials in four occupied regions of Ukraine reported huge majorities of votes in favor of joining Russia––ranging between 87 and 99 percent. Western countries will refuse to recognize the rigged vote tally. Despite that, Russia is likely to grab these eastern regions of Ukraine that together make up about 15 percent of Ukrainian territory.

Russia Threatens Nuclear Weapons Use

Russia Threatens Nuclear Weapons Use

What Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said back in New York corroborates that the Russian snap decision to illegally grab Ukrainian territories was made to expand its nuclear blackmail. Russia has repeatedly waved the threat of using nuclear force to have the upper hand in its war in Ukraine. This is why the Kremlin decided to boost its credibility.

Special Reports
The military capabilities among Antarctic claimant states

The military capabilities among Antarctic claimant states

This research paper thinks about a potential military rivalry for territories in Antarctica. It focuses on the seven states, that have yet asserted territorial claims in Antarctica: Argentina, Chile, Australia, New Zealand, Norway, France and the United Kingdom. The intention is to give a provisional, superficial review about the overall numbers of weapon systems since 2015 in connection with their range and their geographic proximity to Antarctica.
Currently, the UK, France and Australia appear to be the most militarily capable states among the seven claimant states.

Western Balkans and the War in Ukraine

Western Balkans and the War in Ukraine

A new chapter in the Russia-Ukraine war was a turning point for the security architecture in Europe. Although plainly local and between two states, the war in Ukraine is a proxy war that involves NATO and EU states and the Russian Federation. In consequence, other countries could be dragged into the conflict, including those that remain in the sphere of influence for many superpowers.

The U.S. Response to War on Ukraine Needs Work

The U.S. Response to War on Ukraine Needs Work

Since Russia launched its most recent invasion of Ukraine on February 24, the United States and NATO have provided political, military, economic, and other forms of aid and support to Ukraine. While well-intentioned, Washington could improve the types, quantity, and velocity of the aid it provides to Kyiv.

2022 French Presidential Election

2022 French Presidential Election

The French presidential election was fundamental to the world order. The Western European power boasts the EU’s biggest army, the world’s largest exclusive economic zone, and nuclear arsenal while its troops are deployed to five continents. So far France has made modest efforts to contain Russia’s imperialist policy while senior French officials often praised cordial ties with the authorities in Moscow. Nevertheless, the Western European country has become a pillar of security for Central and Eastern European countries, including Poland, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

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