Russia Falls in a Syrian Trap
Three years past the military operation in Syria, Russia managed to achieve its goal, saving the regime of its ally, President Bashar al-Assad. Nonetheless, it failed to restore control over the entire territory of the country – or at least its most important regions. The state’s main sources of income (including gas and oil) are currently occupied by Kurds who enjoy support of the United States.
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U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry Visits Poland: Bad News for Russia’s Gazprom
The latest visit of the U.S. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry to Poland shows that Poland is expected to be an important partner of the USA in terms of energy cooperation. So far, the ever-increasing alliance concerns primarily gas issues, as exemplified by LNG contracts and the two countries’ joint standpoint on the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline
Russian-Austrian Problem with the GRU in the Background
The latest espionage scandal may bring about more serious consequences to Moscow than all earlier similar instances, perceived as much more controversial ones. This time, the incident took place in Austria, a state that was to play a key role in the Kremlin’s strategy, aiming to change the EU policy towards Russia.
Unification Causes a Split within the Pro-Russian Camp
Lately, there have been some pre-election moves in the pro-Russian part of the opposition in Ukrainian politics. Yuriy Boyko (Opposition Bloc Party) and Vadim Rabinovich (For Life Party) have signed an agreement on the unification of their political parties under the name of Civic Platform-For Life.
NATO Exercises, Russian Provocations
Trident Juncture 2018 manoeuvres which ended on November 7 were not only the biggest military exercises of NATO since the end of the Cold War, but they were also the most subject ones to Russian provocations. The proximity of borders of this country induced many dangerous activities of Russian vessels and aircraft during several days of exercises.
A New Revolutionary Terrorism: Russia’s FSB Head Identifies the Enemy
A suicide bombing in the Russian city of Arkhangelsk symbolically marked the beginning of a new era in terms of Russian terrorism. Though, due to propaganda reasons, it appears much more dangerous for the regime than all hitherto attacks carried out by Islamists.
Russia’s FSB Shaken by Regional Reshuffles
Recent personnel reshuffles took place at three FSB regional offices while two of them, Kaliningrad and Crimea, seemed extremely important from the point of view of intelligence and counterintelligence security. The Kremlin’s latest decision aims to put an end to local criminal and political ties.
Russia and Cuba: United in the Face of a Common Enemy
Cuba’s new President recently paid a visit to Moscow, giving the green light to the further advancement of Russian-Cuban cooperation. Over the past few years, Moscow and Havana sought to enhance their economic and energy ties while they now draw attention to developing military ties.
Finland’s Achilles Heel
The case of the Airiston Helmi company and the purchase of real property in the Turku Archipelago show what might be the greatest weakness of Finland if a potential conflict with Russia breaks out. It all boils down to maritime transport.
Berlin: Poland and Germany on a Common Europe
On October 22-23, 2018, the Warsaw Institute delegation took part in the 19th Polish-German Forum organized by The Foundation for Polish-German Cooperation in partnership with the Polish Foreign Ministry and the German Federal Foreign Office.
State of Polish Eastern Policy
The need for a new opening in Polish-Ukrainian relations or the role of “Children of the Kremlin” in Russia’s domestic policy are just some of the topics discussed during a conference entitled “Polish Eastern Policy 2018” organised by the Jan Nowak-Jeziorański College of Eastern Europe in Wrocław with the participation of Warsaw Institute.
Disinformation in Georgia – Workshops and Roundtable by Warsaw Institute
The Warsaw Institute on October 16-17 organized workshops and a roundtable as a part of project Disinformation in practice – identifying, researching and fighting harmful narratives in Georgia.
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Special Reports
Russia Falls in a Syrian Trap
Three years past the military operation in Syria, Russia managed to achieve its goal, saving the regime of its ally, President Bashar al-Assad. Nonetheless, it failed to restore control over the entire territory of the country – or at least its most important regions. The state’s main sources of income (including gas and oil) are currently occupied by Kurds who enjoy support of the United States.
German-Russian Rapprochement: Gas and Common Enemies
Over recent months, Germany has been systematically striving for better relations with Russia while its alliance with the United States seems to have plunged into a crisis. Nonetheless, such state of matters can be neither referred to as temporary nor related to the Trump administration. Instead, the ongoing changes are of lasting character and stem from a series of conditions being independent from political decision of the incumbent.
Caspian Summit: Consequences for the Region
Five Caspian states – Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan – have adopted a convention on the legal status of the Caspian Sea. The deal officially ended a 22-year-old impasse as all interested countries finally managed to reach a consensus. Nevertheless, the document has yet to be ratified and it does not fully resolve disputes over the division of the reservoir.
The dynamics of demographic changes in the Middle East and immigration to Europe
Population growth can be considered as one of the main underlying causes of human migration; however, the factor that is crucial here is the pace of this growth.
Poland in the face of geopolitical changes in Western Europe
The basic thesis of this article is the assumption that Western Europe, the geopolitical center of the European Union, is weakening, devastated by successive crises largely out of its control.
Art Collections in Bombed Warsaw September 1939
The very first concerns about the fate of Polish art work during the times of potential armed conflict emerged in the autumn of 1938.
Let’s not hurry with Poland’s Eurozone membership
Since the outbreak of the crisis in the Eurozone, the enthusiasm of Central and Eastern European countries, including Poland, to join the European Monetary Union has been significantly weakened.
Germany-USA: a discrepancy protocol with Russia in the background
A special geopolitical relationship is coming to an end before our very eyes: an old union, now almost 70 years old.
The map of new Europe 1918/1919: the challenges of independence for Poland
The day before that momentous Armistice was signed between the Allies and Germany – the conclusion to four years of shattering warfare – one seemingly inconspicuous man…
The Warsaw Uprising: A Fight for Remembrance
The Warsaw Uprising constituted one of the most important and – at the same time – dramatic events in the history of Poland in the 20th century.
Romania. From pariah to leader?
In December 1989, television channels all over the world showed the scenes of revolution in Romania and the execution of Nicolae Ceaușescu, the last Communist leader of Romania alongside his wife, Elena.
The Role of Electromobility in Modern Economies
Electromobility is a new technology for land transport designed to revolutionize the transport model that has been shaped over decades. A system of support for the development of new technology is now visible in the legislation of many countries.
Moldova – The Land of Miracles
Moldova is a small country with enormous problems. For 25 years of statehood, the country has continued to be one of the fronts in the struggle for dominance in the post-Soviet area.
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