The New European Constellation
The international constellation formed after the West’s victory in the Cold War is being inevitably eradicated, and the three pillars that originally constituted it have already been eroded.
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Spetsnaz, Fleet and Nuclear Forces: Russia’s Intense Military Drills
Since October, a lot of military drills have been carried out at Russia’s training grounds: the Russians have conducted largest nuclear drills; some time earlier, they have performed joint Russian-Belarusian special forces manoeuvres while Russia’s Southern Military District had held its most important military exercises in 30 years.
Sechin Loses Battle for Russia’s Strategic Oil Port
The main asset of the Summa Group will get neither into the hands of the state nor Rosneft’s CEO Igor Sechin. The Magomedov brothers, temporarily taken into custody, sold their shares of the Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port (NMTP) to the state-owned company Transneft, Russia’s monopoly oil pipeline operator.
The USA Takes a Strong Line on Donbas Case
Recent statements of the U.S. Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker indicate that Washington’s stance towards Russia and the issues concerning occupied Donbas has become more rigid. Volker warns that the “elections” organised in Donbas will not be legal despite the fact that they are acknowledged by Russia.
Purge in Russia’s Regions as Putin Gets Rid of Political Veterans
It was only during one day (October 11) that three heads of Russian regions (Kursk Region, Zabaykalsky Krai and Republic of Bashkortostan) handed in their resignations. In two cases, the Kremlin decided to replace the incumbent with younger politicians who were supposed to achieve much better election result.
The Sea of Azov: Ukraine is not giving up
Kiev authorities announced the construction of a military base in the Sea of Azov and deployment of a greater amount of forces in this region. After months of the increasing Russian pressure in the Sea of Azov, Kiev has finally taken measures which should show that it is not going to yield in the confrontation with Russia.
Russian Army to Add More Firepower in Kaliningrad
The shore artillery of the Baltic Fleet will aim to significantly increase its range of fire while the naval aviation has been already reinforced following the introduction of upgraded helicopters designed to fight submarines. Those steps may eventually translate into an increase in the military threat to neighbouring NATO member states, including Poland and Lithuania, as well as to allied ships in the Baltic Sea.
Putin’s Another Bodyguard to Be Appointed Governor
According to the autumn tradition, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin dismisses some governors while appointing new ones. Nonetheless, this year’s reshuffles appear particularly important due to the fact that recent regional elections have clearly depicted problems of many of the Kremlin-backed nominees.
Romania after the referendum on the same-sex marriage
The referendum was to introduce a change in the Constitution which would precisely define a family as a “union between a man and a woman”. Its sponsors were afraid that the current definition could enable the legalisation of the same-sex marriage. However, the result of the referendum is invalid due to the low turnout.
Warsaw Institute became a partner of Congress 590
Warsaw Institute is a partner of Congress 590, which will take place on 15th and 16th of November 2018 in G2A Arena in Jasionka. Congress 590 is one of the most important business forums devoted to the promotion of Polish economy.
The Warsaw Institute Review Articles in Financial Times
Tony Barber from Financial Times refers to Krzysztof Rak’s article “The New European Constellation” and Tomasz Grzegorz Grosse’s article “Poland in the face of geopolitical changes in Western Europe”. Articles were published in the latest issue of the Warsaw Institute Review.
Bucharest Security Conference 2018
Krzysztof Kamiński, President of the Warsaw Institute, took part in the panel on Responses to Cyber and Hybrid Threats.
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Special Reports
Caspian Summit: Consequences for the Region
Five Caspian states – Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan – have adopted a convention on the legal status of the Caspian Sea. The deal officially ended a 22-year-old impasse as all interested countries finally managed to reach a consensus. Nevertheless, the document has yet to be ratified and it does not fully resolve disputes over the division of the reservoir.
Putin’s Helsinki: Tactical Success, Strategic Failure
The Helsinki summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin did not bring any breakthrough in relations between the two countries as the diplomatic crisis has only deepened since that time. As a result, no sanctions against Russia may be lifted nor restricted while it is not certain whether any further restrictions will be introduced in the near future.
Frozen partnership: Georgia-NATO Relations After the Brussels Summit
The recent NATO summit in Brussels once again confirmed the validity of the declaration of Georgia’s imminent membership within the structures of the Alliance that had been submitted in Bucharest in 2008. Nonetheless, it has not been specified when such an event would possibly take place.
The dynamics of demographic changes in the Middle East and immigration to Europe
Population growth can be considered as one of the main underlying causes of human migration; however, the factor that is crucial here is the pace of this growth.
Poland in the face of geopolitical changes in Western Europe
The basic thesis of this article is the assumption that Western Europe, the geopolitical center of the European Union, is weakening, devastated by successive crises largely out of its control.
Art Collections in Bombed Warsaw September 1939
The very first concerns about the fate of Polish art work during the times of potential armed conflict emerged in the autumn of 1938.
Let’s not hurry with Poland’s Eurozone membership
Since the outbreak of the crisis in the Eurozone, the enthusiasm of Central and Eastern European countries, including Poland, to join the European Monetary Union has been significantly weakened.
Germany-USA: a discrepancy protocol with Russia in the background
A special geopolitical relationship is coming to an end before our very eyes: an old union, now almost 70 years old.
The map of new Europe 1918/1919: the challenges of independence for Poland
The day before that momentous Armistice was signed between the Allies and Germany – the conclusion to four years of shattering warfare – one seemingly inconspicuous man…
The Warsaw Uprising: A Fight for Remembrance
The Warsaw Uprising constituted one of the most important and – at the same time – dramatic events in the history of Poland in the 20th century.
Romania. From pariah to leader?
In December 1989, television channels all over the world showed the scenes of revolution in Romania and the execution of Nicolae Ceaușescu, the last Communist leader of Romania alongside his wife, Elena.
The Role of Electromobility in Modern Economies
Electromobility is a new technology for land transport designed to revolutionize the transport model that has been shaped over decades. A system of support for the development of new technology is now visible in the legislation of many countries.
Moldova – The Land of Miracles
Moldova is a small country with enormous problems. For 25 years of statehood, the country has continued to be one of the fronts in the struggle for dominance in the post-Soviet area.
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