Russia Monitor Monthly 7/23

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EU: Climate Policy in Focus

EU: Climate Policy in Focus

We are pleased to invite everyone to Warsaw Institute online event EU: Climate Policy in Focus. See the upcoming challenges and for european policy not only this year but in the future too.

Visegrad 2024: Building the Future Agenda

Visegrad 2024: Building the Future Agenda

We are pleased to invite everyone to Warsaw Institute online event Visegrad 2024: Building the Future Agenda. See the upcoming challenges and opportunities for the V4 Group.

Disinformation, Hate Speech and Power

Disinformation, Hate Speech and Power

Disinformation (against a group of people), hate speech and the acquisition of power have a special relationship. During the History we can see how these three elements cooperate and how can the disinformation and hate speech lead to a coup or a successful election.

Ukraine Heads Into the Second Year of the Defensive War

Ukraine Heads Into the Second Year of the Defensive War

In 2021, around 2.3 million undocumented migrants from Asia and Africa landed in Europe. It was the first serious renewal of migration crisis since 2015. In 2022 and 2023, even more migrants arrived. Consequently, EU institutions and nations took action to break the stalemate over unregulated migrant flows and the bloc’s migration policy as such.

Ukraine to Change Conscription Rules

Ukraine to Change Conscription Rules

The protracted war consumes vast human and material resources that influence the military and political successes of both warring parties. While in Ukraine much of wartime logistics are influenced by external factors, in Russia domestic resources usually prevail. Among all the factors of waging war, none is as fundamental as the trained human resource manifested on the front in the form of conscripts.

China in Francafrique

China in Francafrique

The question of Francafrique is very complicated and it is difficult to describe the nature of ties between France and the former colonies. The research of Francafrique is priceless, because it can help a lot to understand the diplomatic war between the great powers.

Russian disinformation vs. parliamentary elections in Slovakia

Russian disinformation vs. parliamentary elections in Slovakia

National Council elections were held in Slovakia on 30 September, which were won by the national-left party Smer (23%). The election result meant that a collation had to be formed, as Smer received too few votes to govern alone. The mission to form a government was entrusted by Slovak President Zuzana Čaputová to Smer party leader Robert Fico, who was already in office. Smer has entered into a coalition agreement with the centre-left HLAS (Voice) and the nationalist Slovak National Party (SNS). The new governing coalition has 79 out of 150 seats in parliament.

CEE Cooperation Summit – Europe’s Rising Power

CEE Cooperation Summit – Europe’s Rising Power

The CEE Cooperation Summit 2023 is a unique opportunity to delve into the challenges and opportunities that define the CEE region, while also exploring the synergies and cooperation fostered by the Three Seas Initiative.

Russia, China Cement Military Ties

Russia, China Cement Military Ties

Russian President Vladimir Putin, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, and Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission and a close associate of Chinese President Xi Jinping, met on Wednesday, November 8, in Moscow for talks.

European Commission Proposes Opening EU Accession Talks For Ukraine

European Commission Proposes Opening EU Accession Talks For Ukraine

In early November, the European Commission recommended opening EU accession negotiations with Ukraine once it meets final conditions. The decision was taken by the bloc as the Commission released its long-awaited annual enlargement report. For the first time, the European Union recommended opening EU membership negotiations with a country formally being at war.

Russia Increases Air Strikes against Ukraine’s Energy Infrastructure

Russia Increases Air Strikes against Ukraine’s Energy Infrastructure

Russia has attacked Ukrainian energy infrastructure 60 times in the last several weeks, Ukrainian officials have reported as winter approaches, driving up energy consumption. According to Ukraine’s intelligence agency, Russia has already begun a campaign of attacks on the Ukrainian power grid.

Russia Withdraws from Security Treaty, Triggers Response from NATO

Russia Withdraws from Security Treaty, Triggers Response from NATO

Russia has formally withdrawn from the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), an agreement that sets limits on key categories of conventional military equipment. In response to Russia pulling out of the agreement, NATO froze operations for the treaty, saying it would not be feasible for the treaty to exist where allied parties abide by it and Russia does not. According to sources in the United States, a new reality will exert a positive impact on NATO’s deterrence and defense capabilities.

Ukraine’s Commander-In-Chief on the War with Russia in the Interview with The Economist

Ukraine’s Commander-In-Chief on the War with Russia in the Interview with The Economist

The October escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is part of a series of crises characteristic of the 2020s. At the same time, there is a phenomenon typical of democratic societies, which is a focus on one event that attracts worldwide attention. Therefore, the protracted war in Ukraine becomes a side issue in the stream of information inundating public opinion from the conflicted Middle East.

Ukraine Advances Legislation to Ban Moscow-Affiliated Orthodox Church

Ukraine Advances Legislation to Ban Moscow-Affiliated Orthodox Church

Ukraine’s parliament voted overwhelmingly (267-15) on Thursday, October 19 to advance legislation seen as effectively banning the Ukrainian Orthodox Church over its ties to Moscow. The bill requires further voting before it gets finalized and reaches the desk of President Volodymyr Zelensky. Ukraine’s efforts to ban all Moscow-linked religious affiliation is yet another chapter in the historical split between the Orthodox churches in the two countries that generates thus political tensions.

TransAtlantic Energy Conference 2023

TransAtlantic Energy Conference 2023

With renewed conflict in the Middle East, and oil prices rising, it is clear that energy plays a pivotal role in economic development, national security, and geopolitical stability. A reliable and affordable energy supply is essential for economic growth. Ensuring energy security has never been more crucial.

Ukraine Plans to Stop Russian Gas Transit

Ukraine Plans to Stop Russian Gas Transit

Ukraine does not intend to extend the Russian gas transit contract after it expires at the end of 2024, according to Oleksiy Chernyshov, chairman of the state-owned oil and gas company Naftogaz. Consequently, Ukraine will stop transit once the deal expires. Ukraine continues to transit Russian gas only to support its European colleagues who need this volume of gas, Chernyshov said. In response, Russia said the Ukrainian intention not to extend the contract past 2024 could run a major risk to both Kyiv and the European Union. A sudden halt to the remaining gas flows through Ukraine to Europe would be disruptive and raise gas prices in the affected countries and beyond, according to sources in Russia.

Hamas Attack on Israel: A Turning Point for U.S. Middle East Policy

Hamas Attack on Israel: A Turning Point for U.S. Middle East Policy

The early morning of October 7, 2023 (IST) brought an unexpected heavy terroristic strike targeted directly one of the main U.S. allies. A wide-ranging attack on Israel from the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (better known by its acronym, Hamas) site marks a new chapter of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which may escalate destabilizing the fragile peace in the Middle East.

Wintershall Dea Is Working to Exit the Russian Market

Wintershall Dea Is Working to Exit the Russian Market

German oil and gas producer Wintershall Dea decided to legally separate its local activities in Russia, including joint ventures with Gazprom. “What we are saying is that we cannot predict when an exit will be possible in terms of the actual disposal of shares,” according to Wintershall Dea CEO Mario Mehren. Currently, the company is pursuing plans to completely exit the Russian market by mid-2024.

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