![Kremlin Watchers Report: Trends in the Czech Disinformation Scene](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Raport-07-2023_2okł_page-0001kop.jpg)
Kremlin Watchers Report: Trends in the Czech Disinformation Scene
The Russian invasion of Ukrainian territory marked 500 days in early July. During this time, a number of disinformation narratives flowing from Russia have been circulating in the Czech internet environment, aiming to turn public opinion against Ukraine and undermine trust in the government. Below is an overview of the current disinformation tendencies spreading through the Czech internet in June and July 2023.
![Russian Bear of Influence in Slovakia](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/7603726_1200x800.webp)
Russian Bear of Influence in Slovakia
The penetration of pro-Kremlin propaganda narratives into the Slovak information space has been occurring since 2014, when the emphasis on deceptive narratives about the alleged oppression of the Russian minority in Ukraine, the Western political and societal decadency, or the allegedly strong background of the far right in Ukrainian society and politics, intensified.
![Disarming Disinformation in Central and Eastern Europe](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/russia-information-proaganda-sputnik-news-ukraine-war-putin-05102023-1.webp)
Disarming Disinformation in Central and Eastern Europe
Disinformation in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) remains an enduring and concerning phenomenon, sparking discussions within academia and the political arena.
![The U.S. Has Agreed to Provide Ukraine with Cluster Munitions](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-28T103719.755.png)
The U.S. Has Agreed to Provide Ukraine with Cluster Munitions
On June 18-19th U.S. Secretary of State, Antony J. Blinken, travelled to the People’s Republic of China for meetings with President Xi Jinping, Director of the CCP Central Foreign Affairs Office Wang Yi, State Councillor and Foreign Minister Qin Gang.
![Russian Attack in Northern Ukraine Did Not Crush Ukrainian Spirits](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-08-11T141517.178.png)
Russian Attack in Northern Ukraine Did Not Crush Ukrainian Spirits
Ukraine’s counteroffensive against Russian forces has not yet gained the momentum that some overly optimistic observers anticipated. Ukrainian forces seek to minimize losses while weakening the enemy by depleting its artillery stocks and targeting facilities behind the front line. And yet the Russian assault on the Kupyansk sector shows Ukraine being close to breaking off a section of the front line––an effort its forces have made continuously since early June. Otherwise, the Russian military command would not have dispatched poorly trained troops to target Ukraine’s fortified positions.
![Rosgvardia Receives Heavy Weaponry After Wagner’s Failed Rebellion](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-08-11T140421.948.png)
Rosgvardia Receives Heavy Weaponry After Wagner’s Failed Rebellion
Wagner’s mutiny made the Russian regime realize how important it is to keep military leaders at bay, also to thwart any rebellion that might spark in the country. It was for that reason that the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia) was established to combat “terrorism and extremism” within the country.
![Tensions Run High in the Black Sea](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-08-04T102919.668.png)
Tensions Run High in the Black Sea
Kyiv’s defense ministry said in a statement that such vessels “may be considered by Ukraine as carrying military cargo with all the corresponding risks. The move comes as a response to Moscow withdrawing from a U.N.-brokered deal allowing passage to cargo ships carrying grain from Ukrainian ports.
![Not Only Wagner: Russian Offensive in Libya](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-08-04T101705.932.png)
Not Only Wagner: Russian Offensive in Libya
Libya has emerged as Russia’s latest expeditionary front and deployment area for private military companies, including Wagner Group. After Wagner failed, the Kremlin began fixing ties with Libya’s most important players. Russian oil companies, including Tatneft, are ready to resume oil production in Libya.
![Shoigu, Gerasimov Continue Firing Senior Commanders](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-28T104805.715.png)
Shoigu, Gerasimov Continue Firing Senior Commanders
After a failed Wagner mutiny, top Russian military officials Sergei Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov carried out a radical change in Russia’s military leadership. That has not impacted Moscow’s war in Ukraine. It is known what eventually prevails––consolidated efforts of Russian commanders or the sacking of generals at the expense of people blindly obeying the orders of Gen. Valery Gerasimov, who since January has been in charge of what Russia names its “special operation” in Ukraine.
![Wagner Closes Russian Base, Settles in Belarus](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-21T095241.784.png)
Wagner Closes Russian Base, Settles in Belarus
Wagner fighters will likely continue to redeploy from Russia to eastern Belarus in the coming month as the mercenary group has announced the closure of its Molkino military range in the Krasnodar region. Three weeks after a failed mutiny against Russia’s military leadership, the Kremlin and Wagner came to terms on how to handle Prigozhin’s assets.
![Explosions on Kerch Bridge Linking Crimea and Russia](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-28T105712.759.png)
Explosions on Kerch Bridge Linking Crimea and Russia
The bridge linking Russia to Crimea was attacked in an assault that showed Ukraine’s ability to attack strategic assets deep into the Russian-controlled territory. The attack dealt another humiliating blow to the Kremlin’s prestige, and possibly to its ability to supply troops occupying Ukraine’s southern regions. The bridge has been a supply route for food, fuel, and other supplies for Russian troops invading southern Ukraine.
![The State of Transatlantic Affairs Post Vilnius: Analyzing the Outcomes of the NATO Summit. Part I](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/1550018-678990-756x425.jpg)
The State of Transatlantic Affairs Post Vilnius: Analyzing the Outcomes of the NATO Summit. Part I
The NATO Summit in Vilnius last week witnessed strategic deliberations guided by the principle of deterrence by denial. The Allies sought to deliver on the defense commitments made in Madrid last year. Three themes dominated the two-day meeting in the capital of Lithuania including, Ukraine’s accession to NATO, the defense investment and procurement pledge, and Türkiye’s decision to lift objections to Sweden’s membership.
![Russia Quits Black Sea Grain Deal](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-21T100600.608.png)
Russia Quits Black Sea Grain Deal
Russia pulled out of an international agreement that allows Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Thus, Moscow could seek to take revenge on the Turkish president for his decisions that were not favorable for Russia while making attempts to force Western states into concessions.
![A Rather Flexible Partnership. An account on U.S. – India relations](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-20T114521.221.png)
A Rather Flexible Partnership. An account on U.S. – India relations
Last June, the visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the White House, hosted by President Joe Biden’s administration, marked the beginning of the U.S.-India Comprehensive Global and Strategic Partnership. While the visit was significant in strengthening strategic alignment and discussing the future of regional security in the Indo-Pacific, it also raised concerns regarding democratic values.
![U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken Visited China in a High-stakes Trip Aiming to Dial a Tensions](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-10T114328.704.png)
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken Visited China in a High-stakes Trip Aiming to Dial a Tensions
On June 18-19th U.S. Secretary of State, Antony J. Blinken, travelled to the People’s Republic of China for meetings with President Xi Jinping, Director of the CCP Central Foreign Affairs Office Wang Yi, State Councillor and Foreign Minister Qin Gang.
![America’s Pivot to Asia](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-03T112605.580.png)
America’s Pivot to Asia
The US-Taiwan Initiative of 21st-Century Trade was unveiled last year in June. Less than a year after its announcement, representatives from Washington and Taipei concluded prime negotiations in May 2023. The Initiative represents a significant step forward in strengthening the U.S.-Taiwan economic relationship and is aimed to increase Taiwan’s ability to resist economic coercion from China.
![Discounted Russian Oil Reaches Populous Pakistan](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-05T113011.532.png)
Discounted Russian Oil Reaches Populous Pakistan
In June, Pakistan received its first-ever cargo of Russian crude oil in two batches containing 100,000 tons of oil each. Pakistan may use Chinese yuan to pay for discounted Russian crude oil, beneficial for the two countries. Energy cooperation between Moscow and Islamabad has just been inaugurated. Interestingly, the United States has accepted the idea of shipping Russian oil to energy-starved and dollar-strapped Pakistan.
![Ukraine Claims It Has Seized Strategic Initiative](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-07-05T113822.994.png)
Ukraine Claims It Has Seized Strategic Initiative
Ukraine claims it has seized the initiative at the front as it continues its counteroffensive, while Russia appears to be mired in confusion following a rebellion attempt by the Wagner Group. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the commander in chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, said on social media that he had a telephone conversation with the Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley. He reportedly told Milley that Ukrainian forces have “managed to seize the strategic initiative at the front and have been pushing forward.” That was confirmed by Ukrainian military personnel and the country’s deputy defense minister. Oleksiy Reznikov, Ukraine’s defense minister, said Ukraine has not yet deployed most of its forces.
![China’s Position On the War in Ukraine](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Kevin-Frayer-Getty-Images.webp)
China’s Position On the War in Ukraine
China sees the war in Ukraine as a matter of resistance to the West that might belittle the importance of the United States and its allies worldwide. Thus, China is tightening ties with Russia while setting the stage for a diplomatic push to settle the conflict via negotiations. The war in Ukraine brings both opportunities and challenges for China.
![U.S. and China Held Joint Drills Despite the Recent Escalation](https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Szablony-do-zdjęć-na-stronę-2023-06-28T165425.267.png)
U.S. and China Held Joint Drills Despite the Recent Escalation
On the June 5-8, 36 countries including US, China, Russia, India, and Pakistan participated in the 4th “Komodo” Multilateral Naval Exercise 2023 in Sulawesi – Indonesia.