Date: 21 July 2023 Author: Grzegorz Kuczyński

Russian Attack in Northern Ukraine Did Not Crush Ukrainian Spirits

Ukraine’s counteroffensive against Russian forces has not yet gained the momentum that some overly optimistic observers anticipated. Ukrainian forces seek to minimize losses while weakening the enemy by depleting its artillery stocks and targeting facilities behind the front line. And yet the Russian assault on the Kupyansk sector shows Ukraine being close to breaking off a section of the front line––an effort its forces have made continuously since early June. Otherwise, the Russian military command would not have dispatched poorly trained troops to target Ukraine’s fortified positions.

SOURCE: FACEBOOK / GENERAL STAFF OF THE ARMED FORCES OF UKRAINE

Serhiy Cherevaty, the spokesperson for the Eastern Group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on July 20 confirmed that Russia had made a failed attempt to launch an assault along the northern section of the front line. “Russian forces cannot take the lead along the Kupyansk-Lyman section in northeastern Ukraine,” he added. Russia has launched an assault near the Russian-Ukrainian border to draw Ukrainian troops away from Bakhmut and western Zaporizhzhia––as both are critical to the ongoing offensive. Ukraine’s Deputy Defence Minister Hanna Malyar on July 17 said the Russian goal was to halt a Ukrainian offensive on the Bakhmut direction so the enemy’s military launched an assault towards Kupyansk.On July 20, the commander of Ukraine’s ground forces, Oleksandr Syrsky, said a Russian contingent in Bakhmut is what he referred to as a “quasi-environment”. Ukrainian forces are advancing “slowly but surely” on the front lines in the north and southeast of Bakhmut. Russian forces on July 19 were pushed out from their positions near the village of Orikhovo-Vasylivka, lying northwest of Bakhmut. Sitting atop the hills, Ukrainian forces are capable of targeting Russian troops and their supply routes. Ukrainian soldiers have not yet reclaimed much territory. They successfully seized some swathes of territory around Bakhmut and in the direction of Melitopol and Berdyansk in southern Ukraine. Despite heavy fighting, there has been no major change on the Kupyansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Marinka axes. Fierce fighting has continued in the lower Dnipro River since early July, not only around the Antonivka bridge. Using hi-tech speed boats and drones, Ukrainian naval special forces are conducting operations along the islands of the Dnipro River. With a spike in hostilities around the Dnipro River, Russia now has a dilemma whether to ignore that section or bring more troops and weaponry from elsewhere.

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