Russia Monitor Articles
A Real Battle Of Donbas Is Yet To Come

A Real Battle Of Donbas Is Yet To Come

Weeks of fighting in Ukraine’s eastern towns of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk just prompted the beginning of the real battle of Donbas. Russian efforts to push back Ukrainian forces from the entire Luhansk region have great propaganda significance, but can hardly be seen as a military success. For weeks now, Russian forces have sought to capture a small area, which affected its military capabilities elsewhere. In addition, many Russian soldiers were killed. Ukrainian troops had enough time to build a new line of defenses in Donbas. A real battle is yet to come.

Is There Possibility of Belarus Entering Russia’s War on Ukraine?

Is There Possibility of Belarus Entering Russia’s War on Ukraine?

Rumors are that Russia could launch an offensive on Kyiv from the north, amid prompting concerns that Belarusian troops were about to be deployed in Ukraine. Russian forces are deployed in Belarus for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine yet Lukashenko himself will be a general without an army if he decides to send in his troops.

Kaliningrad Energy Standoff Looms As Lithuania Banned Transit

Kaliningrad Energy Standoff Looms As Lithuania Banned Transit

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Nowak visited the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad. He met with Anton Alikhanov, the region’s governor, to discuss efforts to strengthen the exclave’s energy security. Perhaps Russia is seeking to go tit-for-tat after Lithuania had banned the transit of some goods to the Kaliningrad region over EU sanctions.

Russian Forces Increase Assault On Ukrainian City Of Lysychansk

Russian Forces Increase Assault On Ukrainian City Of Lysychansk

The fierce Ukrainian defense operation in Donbas serves its purpose: as more troops are killed and the Ukrainian army is running short of weapons, Ukrainian forces try to encircle many Russian troops in a relatively small area. It takes a few weeks for Russian troops to claim a major town or city in Ukraine. But they have no military potential to conduct campaigns elsewhere. The authorities in Kyiv seem to have adopted a strategy that consists in delivering heavy losses to the enemy, but this comes at a substantial cost for Ukraine, too. Its officials hope to receive more advanced heavy weapons and additional financial support to stave off Russia’s unprovoked invasion. This tactic needs to bring fruits.

Asian Countries Buy Discounted Russian Oil

Asian Countries Buy Discounted Russian Oil

India is seeking to double down on Russian oil imports while Russia is sending more oil from its Kozmino port in the Far East. China suspends imports while other countries, including Sri Lanka, evince growing interest in Russian hydrocarbons. Russia sells oil at heavy discounts, overtaking oil-rich Gulf monarchies that would send its hydrocarbons to the east. They are forced to cut oil prices to make Russian oil less attractive in the long run.

Is Putin Introducing War Communism?

Is Putin Introducing War Communism?

State Duma, the lower house of the Russian parliament, received a draft federal law on “special economic measures” that in fact introduced a centrally planned economy and make private businesses dependent on the state.

Moldova Pays More For Russian Gas

Moldova Pays More For Russian Gas

The price of Russian gas for Moldova increased by 11 percent, to $980 per thousand cubic meters in July, the head of state energy firm Moldovagaz Vadim Ceban said in a statement. Moldova has so far paid $880 per thousand cubic meters of gas.

Ukrainian Insurgents Stage Sabotage Campaigns In Country’s South

Ukrainian Insurgents Stage Sabotage Campaigns In Country’s South

There has been an increased number of attacks against pro-Kremlin officials in Ukrainian regions that have come under Moscow control, notably in Kherson and Zaporizhia. The southeastern city of Melitopol has been at the heart of the Ukrainian resistance movement while there have been more attacks targeting Russian troops in Kherson and adjacent villages.

Another Russian Energy CEO Tenders Resignation

Another Russian Energy CEO Tenders Resignation

Leonid Fedun, the vice president of Russia’s second-largest oil producer Lukoil, has stepped down from his post shortly after the company’s CEO Vagit Alekperov had left the energy giant. Both resignations probably came in response to Western sanctions on Russia. An owner of a top-tier Russian soccer club, Spartak, Fedun had never been sanctioned for his business activity.

Outgoing Bulgarian PM Petkov Expels Russian Diplomats

Outgoing Bulgarian PM Petkov Expels Russian Diplomats

On June 28, Bulgaria ordered 70 Russian diplomatic staff out of the country, claiming that they have been working against Sofia’s interests. The expulsion is another blow to the Russian spy ring in Bulgaria.

Russia Has Potential Plan To Smash Ukrainian Stronghold In Luhansk Region

Russia Has Potential Plan To Smash Ukrainian Stronghold In Luhansk Region

A two-month operation to target Ukrainian positions in Severodonetsk failed to produce any tangible effects for Russia. The best way would consist in encircling Ukrainian troops in the Azov chemical plant but Russian forces are unable to do so, seeking to cut off the Ukrainians further, which is on the western bank of the Donets River. Claiming Lysychansk would put an end to the defense of Severodonetsk.

Russia Violates Baltic Airspace And Waters, Sending Warning To Sweden, Finland

Russia Violates Baltic Airspace And Waters, Sending Warning To Sweden, Finland

Russia has recently violated Danish territorial waters, performed flights with transponders off, and staged a large-scale drill in its exclave region of Kaliningrad. Thus Moscow has reacted aggressively to the Swedish and Finnish bids to join the Western military alliance NATO. Such breaches could become common as NATO leaders will meet in Madrid on June 28–30.

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