Programs / Russia Monitor
As a result of its aggressive policies, especially after the escalation of operations since 2014, Russia has become the subject of renewed interest in today’s global public opinion among politicians, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and pundits. This makes access to expert knowledge about the situation in that country all the more important, the direction of Russian politics and economic and military expansion, and finally forecasts of the consequences for Europe and the world.
Russia Monitor is a review of the most important events relating to Russian security (broadly understood). Warsaw Institute experts monitor and analyze the Kremlin’s activities and those of its subordinate services to anticipate their short-term and long-term consequences, not only for Russia, but particularly for neighboring countries and the Western world. Therefore, the subject of our analyses are both events and phenomena closely related to the internal situation in Russia, as well as its foreign policy. We are interested in Russian politics behind-the-scenes, changes in security forces and special forces, and the conditions surrounding offensive activities, including military operations.
Our analytical experience, including the ability to form in-depth assessments and forecasts, is at your service. Our experts, who have been monitoring the situation in Russia for years, provide this. We want Russia Monitor to help politicians and businessmen make decisions, and also to bring attention of all concerned to the real face of Putin’s Russia.
Russia Monitor offers:
- analysis of forces in the ruling elite of Russia
- forecasts of political developments in Russia
- assessments of Moscow’s moves on the international scene and their impact on Russia’s economic policy
- analysis of connections between business circles and policy makers
- assessment of the risks associated with Russia’s energy expansion
- information about the situation in Russia’s security apparatus
Another conflict in the Middle East is likely to occur. Israel may decide to attack Hezbollah as the country is afraid of a strong position of Shiite extremists and their Iranian protector in Syria.
The Zapad-2017 military drills fulfill two functions at the same time. On one hand, they constitute a traditional joint Russian-Belarusian exercise within the framework of the regional military group, held alternately in Russia and Belarus every two years.
The Zapad-2017 military exercise has started in nine proving grounds of Belarus. And, according to some experts (also those of Russia Monitor), it may be noticed that the scope of the drills will be much greater than it has been officially announced.
Officially, Zapad-2017 war games will involve stopping, isolating and driving out the “extremist groups” that invaded Belarus from the territory of a hypothetical state of Veishnoria. The actual enemy, however, are other two fictitious states: Lubenia and Besbaria.
Russian Defence Minister has rebuked his German counterpart Ursula von der Leyen for falsely claiming that more than 100,000 troops will participate in the upcoming Zapad-2017 military drills. According to Moscow, there will be only 12,700 soldiers.
One of the main theses in the Russian information offensive accompanying the Zapad-2017 exercises is a statement that they do not jeopardise the security and stability of the region, because they are simply defensive.
A week before the official start of joint Russian and Belarusian maneuvers, for the first time a top western politician questioned the officially given number of servicemen to participate in Zapad-2017.
In result of attacking Ukraine and annexing the Crimea, Vladimir Putin halted a decline in popularity and overcame the crisis in his legitimacy as President, lasting since the mass protests in winter 2011/2012.