Warsaw Institute Articles
It is very likely that the military forces of Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad will attack the Idlib province – the last rebel-held bastion; the operation will probably take place in mid-September. The battle of the province may be the most difficult as well as the bloodiest one since both rebels and civilians have nowhere to escape.
Due to the analysis of defence and modernisation projects, as well as changes within the organisational structure of Russia’s armed forces over last two years, it may be indicated that the state’s authorities pay a lot of attention to the Western Military District.
The Russians seek to mark their presence in Pakistan; first, the country was visited by Russia’s Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service who took part in a meeting of leaders of intelligence services of Russia, China and Iran. The Russians tend to replace the Americans while their recent rapprochement with Pakistan may considerably affect the development of the situation in a neighbouring Afghanistan and in the region.
Ukrainian film director Oleg Sentsov who serves his sentence in a Russian jail, has announced a hunger strike. Despite the fact that Sentsov’s health condition is described as “disastrous”, he is not going to end the strike. Sentsov does not demand his own freedom, but the release of other Ukrainian political prisoners from the Russian labour camps.
A Russian passenger transport service has entered the market of the capital cities of the Baltic states. The Yandex Taxi application works almost in the same way as Uber and Taxify. The difference is that Russian taxies have an additional function: they gather and upload data about their passengers to the Russian servers.
Russia’s energy giant Gazprom gradually loses the possibility of raising some funds on external markets due to a deepening legal dispute with Ukraine’s Naftogaz. The long-lasting dispute with the Ukrainian giant may affect Gazprom’s financial condition and it may even hamper the implementation of export gas pipeline projects, including Nord Stream 2.
Huge protests have recently erupted in Iran in response to the deteriorating economic situation in the country. U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the JCPOA keeps increasing the pressure on Iran’s economy.
In July, the NSPA agency and the Lithuanian Ministry of Defence have signed an agreement on the development of the military infrastructure in Lithuania. The implementation of investments will be beneficial to the Lithuanian army, but also to the forces of the alliance.
The fact of murdering three Russian journalists in the Central African Republic (CAR) may have serious political repercussions both for the authorities in Bangui and Russia’s interests in the country.
Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia inherited numerous Russian-speaking minorities from the Soviet Union. Despite appearances, these are not only Russians, but communities from the whole former empire. It is commonly but wrongly believed that these diasporas are politically homogenous (pro-Russian) and therefore used as a tool in the so-called hybrid warfare.
The recent NATO summit in Brussels once again confirmed the validity of the declaration of Georgia’s imminent membership within the structures of the Alliance that had been submitted in Bucharest in 2008. Nonetheless, it has not been specified when such an event would possibly take place.
Can the unification of the Orthodox Church in Ukraine and its separation from the Moscow Patriarchate help to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and bring peace to this part of Europe? Definitely yes. And this is the main goal of the diplomatic mission initiated by Kiev which has lasted for several years.
Ukraine is said to be fighting on two fronts. The first one is the western border where the country faces the Russian aggression. The second one is located in the very centre: here, Ukrainians struggle with corruption, the worst of all post-Soviet countries. Ukrainian forests have become a battlefield for one of the biggest battles of the second front.
It is expected that Western restrictions, imposed on Russia by the United States and the European Union after the annexation of Crimea, will become troublesome for the state’s economy only in a few years.